Assessing inference of the basic reproduction number in an SIR model incorporating a growth‐scaling parameter
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluation of the epidemiological pattern of COVID-19 applying basic reproduction number: An educational review article
After the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, and its spread to other countries, confrontation with it as an international emergency in all countries was seriously on the agenda of governments. Our country was not immune to this outbreak. Effective measures to combat this new virus would be certainly based on a proper understanding of the epidemiological pattern and its evaluation i...
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BACKGROUND The novel influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 (A/H1N1pdm) pandemic of 2009-2010 had a great impact on society. OBJECTIVE We analyzed data from the absentee survey, conducted in elementary schools of Oita City, to evaluate the A/H1N1pdm pandemic and to estimate the basic reproductive number (R0 ) of this novel strain. METHOD We summarized the overall absentee data and calculated the cumulati...
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Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has caused a substantial burden of disease in China, especially in Guangdong Province. Based on notifiable cases, we use the time series Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model to estimate the basic reproduction rate (R0) and the herd immunity threshold, understanding the transmission and persistence of HFMD more completely for efficient intervention in this pr...
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چکیده ندارد.
15 صفحه اولModel-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection
We investigate the merit of deriving an estimate of the basic reproduction number R0 early in an outbreak of an (emerging) infection from estimates of the incidence and generation interval only. We compare such estimates of R0 with estimates incorporating additional model assumptions, and determine the circumstances under which the different estimates are consistent. We show that one has to be ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Statistics in Medicine
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0277-6715,1097-0258
DOI: 10.1002/sim.7935